REVLTNRY CNCPT (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.0E-4
| 9RV Stock | EUR 0.01 0.0005 10.00% |
REVLTNRY |
REVLTNRY CNCPT Target Price Odds to finish over 5.0E-4
The tendency of REVLTNRY Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.0005 in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.0005 | about 87.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of REVLTNRY CNCPT to stay above € 0.0005 in 90 days from now is about 87.86 (This REVLTNRY CNCPT probability density function shows the probability of REVLTNRY Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of REVLTNRY CNCPT price to stay between € 0.0005 and its current price of €0.0055 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon REVLTNRY CNCPT has a beta of -42.99. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding REVLTNRY CNCPT are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, REVLTNRY CNCPT is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that REVLTNRY CNCPT has an alpha of 40.4272, implying that it can generate a 40.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). REVLTNRY CNCPT Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for REVLTNRY CNCPT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as REVLTNRY CNCPT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.REVLTNRY CNCPT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. REVLTNRY CNCPT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the REVLTNRY CNCPT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold REVLTNRY CNCPT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of REVLTNRY CNCPT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 40.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -42.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
REVLTNRY CNCPT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of REVLTNRY CNCPT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for REVLTNRY CNCPT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| REVLTNRY CNCPT is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| REVLTNRY CNCPT has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| REVLTNRY CNCPT appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
REVLTNRY CNCPT Technical Analysis
REVLTNRY CNCPT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. REVLTNRY Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of REVLTNRY CNCPT. In general, you should focus on analyzing REVLTNRY Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
REVLTNRY CNCPT Predictive Forecast Models
REVLTNRY CNCPT's time-series forecasting models is one of many REVLTNRY CNCPT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary REVLTNRY CNCPT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about REVLTNRY CNCPT
Checking the ongoing alerts about REVLTNRY CNCPT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for REVLTNRY CNCPT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| REVLTNRY CNCPT is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| REVLTNRY CNCPT has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| REVLTNRY CNCPT appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Other Information on Investing in REVLTNRY Stock
REVLTNRY CNCPT financial ratios help investors to determine whether REVLTNRY Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in REVLTNRY with respect to the benefits of owning REVLTNRY CNCPT security.