KRISPY KREME (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.68
| 9YM Stock | 10.30 0.10 0.98% |
KRISPY |
KRISPY KREME Target Price Odds to finish below 8.68
The tendency of KRISPY Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 8.68 or more in 90 days |
| 10.30 | 90 days | 8.68 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KRISPY KREME to drop to 8.68 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KRISPY KREME DL 01 probability density function shows the probability of KRISPY Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KRISPY KREME DL price to stay between 8.68 and its current price of 10.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.38 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon KRISPY KREME has a beta of 0.23. This suggests as returns on the market go up, KRISPY KREME average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KRISPY KREME DL 01 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KRISPY KREME DL 01 has an alpha of 0.0888, implying that it can generate a 0.0888 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KRISPY KREME Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KRISPY KREME
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KRISPY KREME DL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KRISPY KREME Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KRISPY KREME is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KRISPY KREME's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KRISPY KREME DL 01, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KRISPY KREME within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0015 |
KRISPY KREME Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KRISPY KREME for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KRISPY KREME DL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KRISPY KREME DL has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
KRISPY KREME Technical Analysis
KRISPY KREME's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KRISPY Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KRISPY KREME DL 01. In general, you should focus on analyzing KRISPY Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KRISPY KREME Predictive Forecast Models
KRISPY KREME's time-series forecasting models is one of many KRISPY KREME's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KRISPY KREME's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KRISPY KREME DL
Checking the ongoing alerts about KRISPY KREME for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KRISPY KREME DL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KRISPY KREME DL has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in KRISPY Stock
KRISPY KREME financial ratios help investors to determine whether KRISPY Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KRISPY with respect to the benefits of owning KRISPY KREME security.