Accent Resources (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.02

A2R Stock  EUR 0.02  0.0005  2.78%   
Accent Resources' future price is the expected price of Accent Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Accent Resources NL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Accent Resources Backtesting, Accent Resources Valuation, Accent Resources Correlation, Accent Resources Hype Analysis, Accent Resources Volatility, Accent Resources History as well as Accent Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Accent Resources' target price for which you would like Accent Resources odds to be computed.

Accent Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 0.02

The tendency of Accent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 0.02  or more in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.02 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Accent Resources to move over € 0.02  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Accent Resources NL probability density function shows the probability of Accent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Accent Resources price to stay between its current price of € 0.02  and € 0.02  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This suggests Accent Resources NL market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Accent Resources is expected to follow. Additionally Accent Resources NL has an alpha of 0.9951, implying that it can generate a 1.0 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Accent Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Accent Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accent Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.029.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.019.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.029.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.020.02
Details

Accent Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Accent Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Accent Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Accent Resources NL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Accent Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.00
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.04
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Accent Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Accent Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Accent Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Accent Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Accent Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Accent Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Accent Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Accent Resources NL has accumulated 8.11 M in total debt. Accent Resources has a current ratio of 0.04, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Accent Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Accent Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Accent Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Accent to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Accent Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 3.34 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.34 K.
Accent Resources NL has accumulated about 122.85 K in cash with (665.78 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 98.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Accent Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Accent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Accent Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Accent Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding466 M

Accent Resources Technical Analysis

Accent Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Accent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Accent Resources NL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Accent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Accent Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Accent Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Accent Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Accent Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Accent Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Accent Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Accent Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Accent Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Accent Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Accent Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Accent Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Accent Resources NL has accumulated 8.11 M in total debt. Accent Resources has a current ratio of 0.04, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Accent Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Accent Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Accent Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Accent to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Accent Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 3.34 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.34 K.
Accent Resources NL has accumulated about 122.85 K in cash with (665.78 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 98.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Accent Stock

Accent Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Accent Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Accent with respect to the benefits of owning Accent Resources security.