AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.28
| A2X Stock | 4.50 0.06 1.35% |
AAC |
AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR Target Price Odds to finish below 4.28
The tendency of AAC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4.28 or more in 90 days |
| 4.50 | 90 days | 4.28 | over 95.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR to drop to 4.28 or more in 90 days from now is over 95.45 (This AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR probability density function shows the probability of AAC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR price to stay between 4.28 and its current price of 4.5 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR has a beta of 0.51. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR has an alpha of 0.4633, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR Technical Analysis
AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AAC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing AAC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR Predictive Forecast Models
AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR's time-series forecasting models is one of many AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Other Information on Investing in AAC Stock
AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR financial ratios help investors to determine whether AAC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AAC with respect to the benefits of owning AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR security.