Australian Agricultural (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.39
| AAC Stock | 1.38 0.02 1.43% |
Australian |
Australian Agricultural Target Price Odds to finish below 1.39
The tendency of Australian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.39 after 90 days |
| 1.38 | 90 days | 1.39 | about 31.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Australian Agricultural to stay under 1.39 after 90 days from now is about 31.24 (This Australian Agricultural probability density function shows the probability of Australian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Australian Agricultural price to stay between its current price of 1.38 and 1.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Australian Agricultural has a beta of 0.0716. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Australian Agricultural average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Australian Agricultural will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Australian Agricultural has an alpha of 0.001, implying that it can generate a 0.001027 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Australian Agricultural Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Australian Agricultural
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Australian Agricultural. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Australian Agricultural Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Australian Agricultural is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Australian Agricultural's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Australian Agricultural, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Australian Agricultural within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Australian Agricultural Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Australian Agricultural for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Australian Agricultural can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Australian Agricultural may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Australian Agricultural has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 336.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (94.62 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (42.66 M). | |
| About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Australian Agricultural Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Australian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Australian Agricultural's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Australian Agricultural's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 597.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9 M |
Australian Agricultural Technical Analysis
Australian Agricultural's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Australian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Australian Agricultural. In general, you should focus on analyzing Australian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Australian Agricultural Predictive Forecast Models
Australian Agricultural's time-series forecasting models is one of many Australian Agricultural's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Australian Agricultural's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Australian Agricultural
Checking the ongoing alerts about Australian Agricultural for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Australian Agricultural help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Australian Agricultural may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Australian Agricultural has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 336.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (94.62 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (42.66 M). | |
| About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Australian Stock Analysis
When running Australian Agricultural's price analysis, check to measure Australian Agricultural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Australian Agricultural is operating at the current time. Most of Australian Agricultural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Australian Agricultural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Australian Agricultural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Australian Agricultural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.