Aages SA (Romania) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.4
| AAG Stock | 6.30 0.10 1.56% |
Aages |
Aages SA Target Price Odds to finish below 6.4
The tendency of Aages Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 6.40 after 90 days |
| 6.30 | 90 days | 6.40 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aages SA to stay under 6.40 after 90 days from now is near 1 (This Aages SA probability density function shows the probability of Aages Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aages SA price to stay between its current price of 6.30 and 6.40 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aages SA has a beta of -0.014. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aages SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aages SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aages SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aages SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aages SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aages SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aages SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aages SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aages SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aages SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aages SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Aages SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aages SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aages SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aages SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Aages SA Technical Analysis
Aages SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aages Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aages SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aages Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aages SA Predictive Forecast Models
Aages SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aages SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aages SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aages SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aages SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aages SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aages SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Aages Stock
Aages SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aages Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aages with respect to the benefits of owning Aages SA security.