Centro De (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.02

AALR3 Stock  BRL 13.02  0.27  2.03%   
Centro De's future price is the expected price of Centro De instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Centro de Imagem performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Centro De Backtesting, Centro De Valuation, Centro De Correlation, Centro De Hype Analysis, Centro De Volatility, Centro De History as well as Centro De Performance.
  
Please specify Centro De's target price for which you would like Centro De odds to be computed.

Centro De Target Price Odds to finish over 13.02

The tendency of Centro Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.02 90 days 13.02 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Centro De to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Centro de Imagem probability density function shows the probability of Centro Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Centro de Imagem has a beta of -0.48. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Centro De are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Centro de Imagem is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Centro de Imagem has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Centro De Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Centro De

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centro de Imagem. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2513.0215.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.6611.4314.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.8611.6414.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.8613.1113.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Centro De. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Centro De's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Centro De's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Centro de Imagem.

Centro De Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Centro De is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Centro De's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Centro de Imagem, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Centro De within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.48
σ
Overall volatility
0.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Centro De Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Centro De for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Centro de Imagem can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Centro de Imagem generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Centro de Imagem has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (5.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 356.04 M.
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Centro De Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Centro Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Centro De's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Centro De's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding118 M
Cash And Short Term Investments159.9 M

Centro De Technical Analysis

Centro De's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Centro Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Centro de Imagem. In general, you should focus on analyzing Centro Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Centro De Predictive Forecast Models

Centro De's time-series forecasting models is one of many Centro De's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Centro De's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Centro de Imagem

Checking the ongoing alerts about Centro De for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Centro de Imagem help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Centro de Imagem generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Centro de Imagem has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (5.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 356.04 M.
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Tools for Centro Stock Analysis

When running Centro De's price analysis, check to measure Centro De's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Centro De is operating at the current time. Most of Centro De's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Centro De's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Centro De's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Centro De to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.