Mekong Fisheries (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6882.81

AAM Stock   6,900  100.00  1.43%   
Mekong Fisheries' future price is the expected price of Mekong Fisheries instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mekong Fisheries JSC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mekong Fisheries Backtesting, Mekong Fisheries Valuation, Mekong Fisheries Correlation, Mekong Fisheries Hype Analysis, Mekong Fisheries Volatility, Mekong Fisheries History as well as Mekong Fisheries Performance.
  
Please specify Mekong Fisheries' target price for which you would like Mekong Fisheries odds to be computed.

Mekong Fisheries Target Price Odds to finish below 6882.81

The tendency of Mekong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  6,883  or more in 90 days
 6,900 90 days 6,883 
about 21.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mekong Fisheries to drop to  6,883  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.92 (This Mekong Fisheries JSC probability density function shows the probability of Mekong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mekong Fisheries JSC price to stay between  6,883  and its current price of 6900.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mekong Fisheries JSC has a beta of -0.0659. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mekong Fisheries are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mekong Fisheries JSC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mekong Fisheries JSC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mekong Fisheries Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mekong Fisheries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mekong Fisheries JSC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,8976,9006,903
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,8755,8787,590
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6,8806,8836,885
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6,3696,9267,483
Details

Mekong Fisheries Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mekong Fisheries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mekong Fisheries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mekong Fisheries JSC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mekong Fisheries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
385.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Mekong Fisheries Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mekong Fisheries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mekong Fisheries JSC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mekong Fisheries JSC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Mekong Fisheries Technical Analysis

Mekong Fisheries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mekong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mekong Fisheries JSC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mekong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mekong Fisheries Predictive Forecast Models

Mekong Fisheries' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mekong Fisheries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mekong Fisheries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mekong Fisheries JSC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mekong Fisheries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mekong Fisheries JSC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mekong Fisheries JSC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Mekong Stock

Mekong Fisheries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mekong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mekong with respect to the benefits of owning Mekong Fisheries security.