Airtel Africa Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 9.44
| AARTY Stock | USD 12.95 0.00 0.00% |
Airtel |
Airtel Africa Target Price Odds to finish below 9.44
The tendency of Airtel Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.44 or more in 90 days |
| 12.95 | 90 days | 9.44 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Airtel Africa to drop to $ 9.44 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Airtel Africa Plc probability density function shows the probability of Airtel Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Airtel Africa Plc price to stay between $ 9.44 and its current price of $12.95 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Airtel Africa Plc has a beta of -0.25. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Airtel Africa are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Airtel Africa Plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Airtel Africa Plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Airtel Africa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Airtel Africa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Airtel Africa Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Airtel Africa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Airtel Africa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Airtel Africa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Airtel Africa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Airtel Africa Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Airtel Africa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Airtel Africa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Airtel Africa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Airtel Africa Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Airtel Africa Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Airtel Africa Plc has accumulated 4.01 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.13, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Airtel Africa Plc has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Airtel Africa until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Airtel Africa's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Airtel Africa Plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Airtel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Airtel Africa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Airtel Africa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Airtel Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Airtel Africa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Airtel Africa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Last Dividend Date | 23rd of June 2022 | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.05 | |
| Float Shares | 1.07B | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.28% |
Airtel Africa Technical Analysis
Airtel Africa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Airtel Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Airtel Africa Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Airtel Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Airtel Africa Predictive Forecast Models
Airtel Africa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Airtel Africa's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Airtel Africa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Airtel Africa Plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Airtel Africa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Airtel Africa Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Airtel Africa Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Airtel Africa Plc has accumulated 4.01 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.13, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Airtel Africa Plc has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Airtel Africa until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Airtel Africa's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Airtel Africa Plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Airtel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Airtel Africa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for Airtel Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Airtel Africa's price analysis, check to measure Airtel Africa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Airtel Africa is operating at the current time. Most of Airtel Africa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Airtel Africa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Airtel Africa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Airtel Africa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.