Anglo Asian (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 79.5
| AAZ Stock | 95.50 0.50 0.53% |
Anglo |
Anglo Asian Target Price Odds to finish below 79.5
The tendency of Anglo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 79.50 or more in 90 days |
| 95.50 | 90 days | 79.50 | about 6.64 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anglo Asian to drop to 79.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.64 (This Anglo Asian Mining probability density function shows the probability of Anglo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anglo Asian Mining price to stay between 79.50 and its current price of 95.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anglo Asian Mining has a beta of -0.15. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Anglo Asian are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Anglo Asian Mining is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Anglo Asian Mining has an alpha of 0.2791, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Anglo Asian Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Anglo Asian
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anglo Asian Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Anglo Asian Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anglo Asian is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anglo Asian's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anglo Asian Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anglo Asian within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Anglo Asian Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anglo Asian for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anglo Asian Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Anglo Asian Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 45.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.02 M. | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Anglo Asian Minings Strategic Growth Plans Unveiled - TipRanks |
Anglo Asian Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anglo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anglo Asian's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anglo Asian's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 114.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.5 M |
Anglo Asian Technical Analysis
Anglo Asian's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anglo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anglo Asian Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anglo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Anglo Asian Predictive Forecast Models
Anglo Asian's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anglo Asian's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anglo Asian's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Anglo Asian Mining
Checking the ongoing alerts about Anglo Asian for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anglo Asian Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Anglo Asian Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 45.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.02 M. | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Anglo Asian Minings Strategic Growth Plans Unveiled - TipRanks |
Other Information on Investing in Anglo Stock
Anglo Asian financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anglo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anglo with respect to the benefits of owning Anglo Asian security.