Abbott India (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27221.24

ABBOTINDIA   27,496  7.55  0.03%   
Abbott India's future price is the expected price of Abbott India instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Abbott India Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Abbott India Backtesting, Abbott India Valuation, Abbott India Correlation, Abbott India Hype Analysis, Abbott India Volatility, Abbott India History as well as Abbott India Performance.
  
Please specify Abbott India's target price for which you would like Abbott India odds to be computed.

Abbott India Target Price Odds to finish over 27221.24

The tendency of Abbott Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  27,221  in 90 days
 27,496 90 days 27,221 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Abbott India to stay above  27,221  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Abbott India Limited probability density function shows the probability of Abbott Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Abbott India Limited price to stay between  27,221  and its current price of 27496.2 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Abbott India has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Abbott India average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Abbott India Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Abbott India Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Abbott India Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Abbott India

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Abbott India Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Abbott India's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27,43527,43630,246
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23,57023,57130,246
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27,53927,54127,542
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
158.15161.78168.53
Details

Abbott India Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Abbott India is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Abbott India's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Abbott India Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Abbott India within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
778.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Abbott India Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Abbott India for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Abbott India Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Abbott India Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Abbott India Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: ABBOTINDIA Outlook for the Week - EquityPandit

Abbott India Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Abbott Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Abbott India's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abbott India's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments21.2 B

Abbott India Technical Analysis

Abbott India's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Abbott Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Abbott India Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Abbott Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Abbott India Predictive Forecast Models

Abbott India's time-series forecasting models is one of many Abbott India's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Abbott India's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Abbott India Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Abbott India for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Abbott India Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Abbott India Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Abbott India Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: ABBOTINDIA Outlook for the Week - EquityPandit

Other Information on Investing in Abbott Stock

Abbott India financial ratios help investors to determine whether Abbott Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Abbott with respect to the benefits of owning Abbott India security.