Athabasca Minerals Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.074

ABCAFDelisted Stock  USD 0.08  0.00  0.00%   
Athabasca Minerals' future price is the expected price of Athabasca Minerals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Athabasca Minerals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
Please specify Athabasca Minerals' target price for which you would like Athabasca Minerals odds to be computed.

Athabasca Minerals Target Price Odds to finish over 0.074

The tendency of Athabasca Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.07  in 90 days
 0.08 90 days 0.07 
about 68.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Athabasca Minerals to stay above $ 0.07  in 90 days from now is about 68.54 (This Athabasca Minerals probability density function shows the probability of Athabasca Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Athabasca Minerals price to stay between $ 0.07  and its current price of $0.077 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.56 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.14 . This suggests Athabasca Minerals market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Athabasca Minerals is expected to follow. Additionally Athabasca Minerals has an alpha of 0.4463, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Athabasca Minerals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Athabasca Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Athabasca Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.070.080.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.070.070.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.080.080.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.080.080.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Athabasca Minerals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Athabasca Minerals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Athabasca Minerals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Athabasca Minerals.

Athabasca Minerals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Athabasca Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Athabasca Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Athabasca Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Athabasca Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Athabasca Minerals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Athabasca Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Athabasca Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Athabasca Minerals is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Athabasca Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Athabasca Minerals has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 12.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.49 M.
Athabasca Minerals has accumulated about 1.21 M in cash with (1.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Athabasca Minerals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Athabasca Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Athabasca Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Athabasca Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding76.8 M
Shares Float59.4 M

Athabasca Minerals Technical Analysis

Athabasca Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Athabasca Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Athabasca Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Athabasca Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Athabasca Minerals Predictive Forecast Models

Athabasca Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Athabasca Minerals' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Athabasca Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Athabasca Minerals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Athabasca Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Athabasca Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Athabasca Minerals is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Athabasca Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Athabasca Minerals has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 12.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.49 M.
Athabasca Minerals has accumulated about 1.21 M in cash with (1.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Other Consideration for investing in Athabasca Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Athabasca Minerals check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Athabasca Minerals' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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