Ambase Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 4.16
| ABCP Stock | USD 0.35 0.01 2.94% |
Ambase |
Ambase Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 4.16
The tendency of Ambase Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 4.16 or more in 90 days |
| 0.35 | 90 days | 4.16 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ambase Corp to move over $ 4.16 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ambase Corp probability density function shows the probability of Ambase Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ambase Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.35 and $ 4.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.67 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ambase Corp has a beta of -0.24. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ambase Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ambase Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ambase Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ambase Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ambase Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ambase Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ambase Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ambase Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ambase Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ambase Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ambase Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ambase Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Ambase Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ambase Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ambase Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ambase Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ambase Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ambase Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (5.21 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (15 K). | |
| Ambase Corp currently holds about 1.52 M in cash with (4.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Ambase Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ambase Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ambase Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ambase Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 M |
Ambase Corp Technical Analysis
Ambase Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ambase Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ambase Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ambase Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ambase Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Ambase Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ambase Corp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ambase Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ambase Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ambase Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ambase Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ambase Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ambase Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ambase Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (5.21 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (15 K). | |
| Ambase Corp currently holds about 1.52 M in cash with (4.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Ambase Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Ambase Corp's price analysis, check to measure Ambase Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ambase Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Ambase Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ambase Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ambase Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ambase Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.