Asia Biomass (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.30

ABM Stock  THB 1.30  0.01  0.78%   
Asia Biomass' future price is the expected price of Asia Biomass instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Asia Biomass Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Asia Biomass Backtesting, Asia Biomass Valuation, Asia Biomass Correlation, Asia Biomass Hype Analysis, Asia Biomass Volatility, Asia Biomass History as well as Asia Biomass Performance.
  
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Asia Biomass Target Price Odds to finish over 1.30

The tendency of Asia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.30 90 days 1.30 
about 40.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asia Biomass to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 40.13 (This Asia Biomass Public probability density function shows the probability of Asia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Asia Biomass Public has a beta of -0.0351. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Asia Biomass are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Asia Biomass Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Asia Biomass Public has an alpha of 0.0651, implying that it can generate a 0.0651 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Asia Biomass Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Asia Biomass

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asia Biomass Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.29130.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.83129.83
Details

Asia Biomass Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asia Biomass is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asia Biomass' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asia Biomass Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asia Biomass within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Asia Biomass Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asia Biomass for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asia Biomass Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Asia Biomass Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Asia Biomass Public may become a speculative penny stock
Asia Biomass Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Asia Biomass Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Asia Biomass Public has accumulated 67.55 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 156.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Asia Biomass Public has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Asia Biomass until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Asia Biomass' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Asia Biomass Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Asia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Asia Biomass' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Asia Biomass Public has accumulated about 33.41 M in cash with (34.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11.
Roughly 45.0% of Asia Biomass shares are held by company insiders

Asia Biomass Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Asia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asia Biomass' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asia Biomass' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding300 M

Asia Biomass Technical Analysis

Asia Biomass' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asia Biomass Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Asia Biomass Predictive Forecast Models

Asia Biomass' time-series forecasting models is one of many Asia Biomass' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asia Biomass' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Asia Biomass Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Asia Biomass for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asia Biomass Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Asia Biomass Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Asia Biomass Public may become a speculative penny stock
Asia Biomass Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Asia Biomass Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Asia Biomass Public has accumulated 67.55 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 156.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Asia Biomass Public has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Asia Biomass until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Asia Biomass' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Asia Biomass Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Asia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Asia Biomass' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Asia Biomass Public has accumulated about 33.41 M in cash with (34.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11.
Roughly 45.0% of Asia Biomass shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Asia Stock

Asia Biomass financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asia with respect to the benefits of owning Asia Biomass security.