Ab Bond Inflation Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.20

ABNCX Fund  USD 10.04  0.02  0.20%   
Ab Bond's future price is the expected price of Ab Bond instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ab Bond Inflation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ab Bond Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ab Bond Correlation, Ab Bond Hype Analysis, Ab Bond Volatility, Ab Bond History as well as Ab Bond Performance.
  
Please specify Ab Bond's target price for which you would like Ab Bond odds to be computed.

Ab Bond Target Price Odds to finish over 10.20

The tendency of ABNCX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.20  or more in 90 days
 10.04 90 days 10.20 
nearly 4.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ab Bond to move over $ 10.20  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.21 (This Ab Bond Inflation probability density function shows the probability of ABNCX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ab Bond Inflation price to stay between its current price of $ 10.04  and $ 10.20  at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.16 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ab Bond has a beta of 0.031. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ab Bond average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ab Bond Inflation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ab Bond Inflation has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ab Bond Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ab Bond

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ab Bond Inflation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ab Bond's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.8710.0410.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.789.9510.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8510.0310.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9810.0210.05
Details

Ab Bond Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ab Bond is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ab Bond's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ab Bond Inflation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ab Bond within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.71

Ab Bond Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ab Bond for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ab Bond Inflation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ab Bond Inflation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Ab Bond Inflation holds about 20.73% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Ab Bond Technical Analysis

Ab Bond's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ABNCX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ab Bond Inflation. In general, you should focus on analyzing ABNCX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ab Bond Predictive Forecast Models

Ab Bond's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ab Bond's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ab Bond's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ab Bond Inflation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ab Bond for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ab Bond Inflation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ab Bond Inflation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Ab Bond Inflation holds about 20.73% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in ABNCX Mutual Fund

Ab Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether ABNCX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ABNCX with respect to the benefits of owning Ab Bond security.
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals