Binhthuan Agriculture (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3920.0

ABS Stock   3,920  60.00  1.55%   
Binhthuan Agriculture's future price is the expected price of Binhthuan Agriculture instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Binhthuan Agriculture Services performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Binhthuan Agriculture Backtesting, Binhthuan Agriculture Valuation, Binhthuan Agriculture Correlation, Binhthuan Agriculture Hype Analysis, Binhthuan Agriculture Volatility, Binhthuan Agriculture History as well as Binhthuan Agriculture Performance.
  
Please specify Binhthuan Agriculture's target price for which you would like Binhthuan Agriculture odds to be computed.

Binhthuan Agriculture Target Price Odds to finish over 3920.0

The tendency of Binhthuan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3,920 90 days 3,920 
about 70.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Binhthuan Agriculture to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 70.65 (This Binhthuan Agriculture Services probability density function shows the probability of Binhthuan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Binhthuan Agriculture has a beta of 0.36. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Binhthuan Agriculture average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Binhthuan Agriculture Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Binhthuan Agriculture Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Binhthuan Agriculture Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Binhthuan Agriculture

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Binhthuan Agriculture. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,9193,9203,921
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,3313,3324,312
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,8013,8033,804
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,7843,8533,923
Details

Binhthuan Agriculture Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Binhthuan Agriculture is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Binhthuan Agriculture's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Binhthuan Agriculture Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Binhthuan Agriculture within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
236.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Binhthuan Agriculture Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Binhthuan Agriculture for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Binhthuan Agriculture can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Binhthuan Agriculture generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Binhthuan Agriculture Technical Analysis

Binhthuan Agriculture's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Binhthuan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Binhthuan Agriculture Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Binhthuan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Binhthuan Agriculture Predictive Forecast Models

Binhthuan Agriculture's time-series forecasting models is one of many Binhthuan Agriculture's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Binhthuan Agriculture's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Binhthuan Agriculture

Checking the ongoing alerts about Binhthuan Agriculture for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Binhthuan Agriculture help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Binhthuan Agriculture generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Binhthuan Stock

Binhthuan Agriculture financial ratios help investors to determine whether Binhthuan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Binhthuan with respect to the benefits of owning Binhthuan Agriculture security.