Accunia Invest (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 984.2

ACACIGDKK  DKK 988.60  2.50  0.25%   
Accunia Invest's future price is the expected price of Accunia Invest instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Accunia Invest EUR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Accunia Invest Backtesting, Accunia Invest Valuation, Accunia Invest Correlation, Accunia Invest Hype Analysis, Accunia Invest Volatility, Accunia Invest History as well as Accunia Invest Performance.
  
Please specify Accunia Invest's target price for which you would like Accunia Invest odds to be computed.

Accunia Invest Target Price Odds to finish over 984.2

The tendency of Accunia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above kr 984.20  in 90 days
 988.60 90 days 984.20 
about 89.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Accunia Invest to stay above kr 984.20  in 90 days from now is about 89.4 (This Accunia Invest EUR probability density function shows the probability of Accunia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Accunia Invest EUR price to stay between kr 984.20  and its current price of kr988.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Accunia Invest has a beta of 0.0616. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Accunia Invest average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Accunia Invest EUR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Accunia Invest EUR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Accunia Invest Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Accunia Invest

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accunia Invest EUR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
988.21988.60988.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
889.74990.07990.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
986.00986.39986.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
983.45987.80992.15
Details

Accunia Invest Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Accunia Invest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Accunia Invest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Accunia Invest EUR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Accunia Invest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
5.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.35

Accunia Invest Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Accunia Invest for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Accunia Invest EUR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Accunia Invest EUR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Accunia Invest Technical Analysis

Accunia Invest's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Accunia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Accunia Invest EUR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Accunia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Accunia Invest Predictive Forecast Models

Accunia Invest's time-series forecasting models is one of many Accunia Invest's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Accunia Invest's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Accunia Invest EUR

Checking the ongoing alerts about Accunia Invest for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Accunia Invest EUR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Accunia Invest EUR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Accunia Stock

Accunia Invest financial ratios help investors to determine whether Accunia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Accunia with respect to the benefits of owning Accunia Invest security.