Acanthe Dveloppement (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.33

ACAN Stock  EUR 0.32  0.01  3.03%   
Acanthe Dveloppement's future price is the expected price of Acanthe Dveloppement instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Acanthe Dveloppement performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Acanthe Dveloppement Backtesting, Acanthe Dveloppement Valuation, Acanthe Dveloppement Correlation, Acanthe Dveloppement Hype Analysis, Acanthe Dveloppement Volatility, Acanthe Dveloppement History as well as Acanthe Dveloppement Performance.
  
Please specify Acanthe Dveloppement's target price for which you would like Acanthe Dveloppement odds to be computed.

Acanthe Dveloppement Target Price Odds to finish over 0.33

The tendency of Acanthe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 0.33  or more in 90 days
 0.32 90 days 0.33 
about 91.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acanthe Dveloppement to move over € 0.33  or more in 90 days from now is about 91.76 (This Acanthe Dveloppement probability density function shows the probability of Acanthe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Acanthe Dveloppement price to stay between its current price of € 0.32  and € 0.33  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Acanthe Dveloppement has a beta of 0.27. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Acanthe Dveloppement average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Acanthe Dveloppement will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Acanthe Dveloppement has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Acanthe Dveloppement Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Acanthe Dveloppement

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acanthe Dveloppement. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.323.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.283.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.313.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.310.320.33
Details

Acanthe Dveloppement Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acanthe Dveloppement is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acanthe Dveloppement's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acanthe Dveloppement, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acanthe Dveloppement within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Acanthe Dveloppement Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acanthe Dveloppement for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acanthe Dveloppement can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Acanthe Dveloppement generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Acanthe Dveloppement has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Acanthe Dveloppement has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Acanthe Dveloppement has accumulated about 6.28 M in cash with (19.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04.
Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Acanthe Dveloppement Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acanthe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acanthe Dveloppement's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acanthe Dveloppement's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding147.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments20.6 M

Acanthe Dveloppement Technical Analysis

Acanthe Dveloppement's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acanthe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acanthe Dveloppement. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acanthe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Acanthe Dveloppement Predictive Forecast Models

Acanthe Dveloppement's time-series forecasting models is one of many Acanthe Dveloppement's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acanthe Dveloppement's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Acanthe Dveloppement

Checking the ongoing alerts about Acanthe Dveloppement for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acanthe Dveloppement help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Acanthe Dveloppement generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Acanthe Dveloppement has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Acanthe Dveloppement has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Acanthe Dveloppement has accumulated about 6.28 M in cash with (19.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04.
Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Acanthe Stock

Acanthe Dveloppement financial ratios help investors to determine whether Acanthe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Acanthe with respect to the benefits of owning Acanthe Dveloppement security.