ASIA Capital (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.32

ASIA Capital's future price is the expected price of ASIA Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ASIA Capital Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ASIA Capital Backtesting, ASIA Capital Valuation, ASIA Capital Correlation, ASIA Capital Hype Analysis, ASIA Capital Volatility, ASIA Capital History as well as ASIA Capital Performance.
  
Please specify ASIA Capital's target price for which you would like ASIA Capital odds to be computed.

ASIA Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 0.32

The tendency of ASIA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  0.32  after 90 days
 0.00 90 days 0.32 
about 55.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ASIA Capital to stay under  0.32  after 90 days from now is about 55.64 (This ASIA Capital Group probability density function shows the probability of ASIA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ASIA Capital Group price to stay between its current price of  0.00  and  0.32  at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ASIA Capital has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This suggests the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and ASIA Capital do not appear to be very sensitive. Additionally It does not look like ASIA Capital's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation.
   ASIA Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ASIA Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASIA Capital Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0050.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0050.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.32179.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.090.220.53
Details

ASIA Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ASIA Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ASIA Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ASIA Capital Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ASIA Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.00
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.00
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.00

ASIA Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ASIA Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ASIA Capital Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ASIA Capital Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
ASIA Capital Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
ASIA Capital Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
ASIA Capital Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 22.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (226.25 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (102.51 M).
About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

ASIA Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ASIA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ASIA Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ASIA Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding316.4 M

ASIA Capital Technical Analysis

ASIA Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASIA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ASIA Capital Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASIA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ASIA Capital Predictive Forecast Models

ASIA Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many ASIA Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ASIA Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ASIA Capital Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about ASIA Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ASIA Capital Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ASIA Capital Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
ASIA Capital Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
ASIA Capital Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
ASIA Capital Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 22.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (226.25 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (102.51 M).
About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in ASIA Stock

ASIA Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether ASIA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ASIA with respect to the benefits of owning ASIA Capital security.