Accolade Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.71

ACCD Stock  USD 3.71  0.15  4.21%   
Accolade's future price is the expected price of Accolade instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Accolade performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Accolade Backtesting, Accolade Valuation, Accolade Correlation, Accolade Hype Analysis, Accolade Volatility, Accolade History as well as Accolade Performance.
For information on how to trade Accolade Stock refer to our How to Trade Accolade Stock guide.
  
At present, Accolade's Price Book Value Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.10, whereas Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to grow to (45.11). Please specify Accolade's target price for which you would like Accolade odds to be computed.

Accolade Target Price Odds to finish over 3.71

The tendency of Accolade Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.71 90 days 3.71 
about 58.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Accolade to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 58.79 (This Accolade probability density function shows the probability of Accolade Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.8 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Accolade will likely underperform. Additionally Accolade has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Accolade Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Accolade

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accolade. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Accolade's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.763.706.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.546.489.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.703.646.58
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.4414.7716.39
Details

Accolade Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Accolade is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Accolade's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Accolade, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Accolade within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.80
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Accolade Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Accolade for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Accolade can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Accolade generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Accolade has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 414.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (99.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 165.26 M.
Accolade currently holds about 330.63 M in cash with (16.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.6, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Accolade has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from investing.com: Acclade CEO Rajeev Singh sells 1,271 in stock

Accolade Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Accolade Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Accolade's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Accolade's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding74.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments237 M

Accolade Technical Analysis

Accolade's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Accolade Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Accolade. In general, you should focus on analyzing Accolade Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Accolade Predictive Forecast Models

Accolade's time-series forecasting models is one of many Accolade's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Accolade's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Accolade

Checking the ongoing alerts about Accolade for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Accolade help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Accolade generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Accolade has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 414.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (99.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 165.26 M.
Accolade currently holds about 330.63 M in cash with (16.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.6, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Accolade has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from investing.com: Acclade CEO Rajeev Singh sells 1,271 in stock
When determining whether Accolade is a strong investment it is important to analyze Accolade's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Accolade's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Accolade Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Accolade Backtesting, Accolade Valuation, Accolade Correlation, Accolade Hype Analysis, Accolade Volatility, Accolade History as well as Accolade Performance.
For information on how to trade Accolade Stock refer to our How to Trade Accolade Stock guide.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Health Care Technology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Accolade. If investors know Accolade will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Accolade listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.02)
Revenue Per Share
5.706
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.098
Return On Assets
(0.07)
Return On Equity
(0.19)
The market value of Accolade is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Accolade that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Accolade's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Accolade's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Accolade's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Accolade's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Accolade's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Accolade is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Accolade's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.