ACG Acquisition (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.83

ACG Stock   5.10  0.00  0.00%   
ACG Acquisition's future price is the expected price of ACG Acquisition instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ACG Acquisition Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ACG Acquisition Backtesting, ACG Acquisition Valuation, ACG Acquisition Correlation, ACG Acquisition Hype Analysis, ACG Acquisition Volatility, ACG Acquisition History as well as ACG Acquisition Performance.
  
Please specify ACG Acquisition's target price for which you would like ACG Acquisition odds to be computed.

ACG Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish below 4.83

The tendency of ACG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  4.83  or more in 90 days
 5.10 90 days 4.83 
about 6.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ACG Acquisition to drop to  4.83  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.93 (This ACG Acquisition Co probability density function shows the probability of ACG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ACG Acquisition price to stay between  4.83  and its current price of 5.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ACG Acquisition Co has a beta of -0.0805. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ACG Acquisition are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ACG Acquisition Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ACG Acquisition Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ACG Acquisition Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ACG Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ACG Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.215.106.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.894.786.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.094.976.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.125.165.21
Details

ACG Acquisition Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ACG Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ACG Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ACG Acquisition Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ACG Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

ACG Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ACG Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ACG Acquisition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ACG Acquisition generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ACG Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (17.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
ACG Acquisition generates negative cash flow from operations
Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

ACG Acquisition Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ACG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ACG Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ACG Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 M

ACG Acquisition Technical Analysis

ACG Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ACG Acquisition Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ACG Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models

ACG Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many ACG Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ACG Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ACG Acquisition

Checking the ongoing alerts about ACG Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ACG Acquisition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ACG Acquisition generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ACG Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (17.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
ACG Acquisition generates negative cash flow from operations
Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in ACG Stock

ACG Acquisition financial ratios help investors to determine whether ACG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ACG with respect to the benefits of owning ACG Acquisition security.