Albertsons Companies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.01
| ACI Stock | USD 19.85 0.23 1.17% |
Albertsons |
Albertsons Companies Target Price Odds to finish below 19.01
The tendency of Albertsons Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 19.01 or more in 90 days |
| 19.85 | 90 days | 19.01 | about 70.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Albertsons Companies to drop to $ 19.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 70.45 (This Albertsons Companies probability density function shows the probability of Albertsons Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Albertsons Companies price to stay between $ 19.01 and its current price of $19.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.56 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Albertsons Companies has a beta of 0.46. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Albertsons Companies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Albertsons Companies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Albertsons Companies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Albertsons Companies Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Albertsons Companies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Albertsons Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Albertsons Companies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Albertsons Companies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Albertsons Companies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Albertsons Companies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Albertsons Companies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Albertsons Companies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Albertsons Companies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Albertsons Companies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Albertsons Companies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 8th of November 2024 Albertsons Companies paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from patch.com: 1M Windfall 56 Turkeys Pardoned 17M Payout Saturday Smiles |
Albertsons Companies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Albertsons Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Albertsons Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Albertsons Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 581.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 188.7 M |
Albertsons Companies Technical Analysis
Albertsons Companies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Albertsons Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Albertsons Companies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Albertsons Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Albertsons Companies Predictive Forecast Models
Albertsons Companies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Albertsons Companies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Albertsons Companies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Albertsons Companies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Albertsons Companies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Albertsons Companies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 8th of November 2024 Albertsons Companies paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from patch.com: 1M Windfall 56 Turkeys Pardoned 17M Payout Saturday Smiles |
Check out Albertsons Companies Backtesting, Albertsons Companies Valuation, Albertsons Companies Correlation, Albertsons Companies Hype Analysis, Albertsons Companies Volatility, Albertsons Companies History as well as Albertsons Companies Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Albertsons Stock please use our How to Invest in Albertsons Companies guide.You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Albertsons Companies. If investors know Albertsons will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Albertsons Companies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 1.71 | Revenue Per Share 137.961 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 |
The market value of Albertsons Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Albertsons that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Albertsons Companies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Albertsons Companies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Albertsons Companies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Albertsons Companies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Albertsons Companies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Albertsons Companies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Albertsons Companies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.