Auckland International Airport Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 4.67
| ACKDF Stock | USD 4.09 0.00 0.00% |
Auckland |
Auckland International Target Price Odds to finish below 4.67
The tendency of Auckland Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 4.67 after 90 days |
| 4.09 | 90 days | 4.67 | about 91.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Auckland International to stay under $ 4.67 after 90 days from now is about 91.54 (This Auckland International Airport probability density function shows the probability of Auckland Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Auckland International price to stay between its current price of $ 4.09 and $ 4.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.27 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Auckland International Airport has a beta of -1.05. This suggests Additionally Auckland International Airport has an alpha of 0.0831, implying that it can generate a 0.0831 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Auckland International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Auckland International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Auckland International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Auckland International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Auckland International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Auckland International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Auckland International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Auckland International Airport, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Auckland International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Auckland International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Auckland International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Auckland International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Auckland International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Auckland International has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Auckland International Airport has accumulated 961 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.18, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Auckland International has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Auckland International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Auckland International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Auckland International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Auckland to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Auckland International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 19.0% of Auckland International shares are held by company insiders |
Auckland International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Auckland Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Auckland International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Auckland International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B |
Auckland International Technical Analysis
Auckland International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Auckland Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Auckland International Airport. In general, you should focus on analyzing Auckland Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Auckland International Predictive Forecast Models
Auckland International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Auckland International's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Auckland International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Auckland International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Auckland International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Auckland International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Auckland International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Auckland International has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Auckland International Airport has accumulated 961 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.18, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Auckland International has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Auckland International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Auckland International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Auckland International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Auckland to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Auckland International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 19.0% of Auckland International shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Auckland Pink Sheet
Auckland International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Auckland Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Auckland with respect to the benefits of owning Auckland International security.