American Creek Resources Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 32.67

ACKRF Stock  USD 0.23  0.01  4.55%   
American Creek's future price is the expected price of American Creek instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of American Creek Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out American Creek Backtesting, American Creek Valuation, American Creek Correlation, American Creek Hype Analysis, American Creek Volatility, American Creek History as well as American Creek Performance.
  
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American Creek Target Price Odds to finish over 32.67

The tendency of American OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 32.67  or more in 90 days
 0.23 90 days 32.67 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Creek to move over $ 32.67  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This American Creek Resources probability density function shows the probability of American OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Creek Resources price to stay between its current price of $ 0.23  and $ 32.67  at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.23 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon American Creek Resources has a beta of -0.46. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding American Creek are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, American Creek Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally American Creek Resources has an alpha of 0.2706, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American Creek Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Creek

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Creek Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.234.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.194.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.244.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.200.230.25
Details

American Creek Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Creek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Creek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Creek Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Creek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

American Creek Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Creek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Creek Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Creek has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
American Creek had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
American Creek has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
American Creek Resources has accumulated about 1.74 M in cash with (951.69 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

American Creek Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Creek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Creek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding439.7 M

American Creek Technical Analysis

American Creek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Creek Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing American OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

American Creek Predictive Forecast Models

American Creek's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Creek's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Creek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about American Creek Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Creek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Creek Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Creek has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
American Creek had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
American Creek has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
American Creek Resources has accumulated about 1.74 M in cash with (951.69 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in American OTC Stock

American Creek financial ratios help investors to determine whether American OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Creek security.