Ascendas India Trust Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 6.33

ACNDF Stock  USD 0.77  0.01  1.28%   
Ascendas India's future price is the expected price of Ascendas India instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ascendas India Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ascendas India Backtesting, Ascendas India Valuation, Ascendas India Correlation, Ascendas India Hype Analysis, Ascendas India Volatility, Ascendas India History as well as Ascendas India Performance.
  
Please specify Ascendas India's target price for which you would like Ascendas India odds to be computed.

Ascendas India Target Price Odds to finish over 6.33

The tendency of Ascendas Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 6.33  or more in 90 days
 0.77 90 days 6.33 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ascendas India to move over $ 6.33  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ascendas India Trust probability density function shows the probability of Ascendas Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ascendas India Trust price to stay between its current price of $ 0.77  and $ 6.33  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ascendas India has a beta of 0.38. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ascendas India average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ascendas India Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ascendas India Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ascendas India Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ascendas India

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ascendas India Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ascendas India's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.772.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.672.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.802.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.760.770.78
Details

Ascendas India Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ascendas India is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ascendas India's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ascendas India Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ascendas India within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Ascendas India Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ascendas India for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ascendas India Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ascendas India Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ascendas India Trust has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ascendas India Trust has accumulated 634.18 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.79, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ascendas India Trust has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ascendas India until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ascendas India's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ascendas India Trust sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ascendas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ascendas India's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 59.0% of Ascendas India shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Ascendas India Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ascendas Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ascendas India's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ascendas India's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B

Ascendas India Technical Analysis

Ascendas India's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ascendas Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ascendas India Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ascendas Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ascendas India Predictive Forecast Models

Ascendas India's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ascendas India's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ascendas India's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ascendas India Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ascendas India for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ascendas India Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ascendas India Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ascendas India Trust has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ascendas India Trust has accumulated 634.18 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.79, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ascendas India Trust has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ascendas India until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ascendas India's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ascendas India Trust sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ascendas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ascendas India's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 59.0% of Ascendas India shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Ascendas Pink Sheet

Ascendas India financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ascendas Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ascendas with respect to the benefits of owning Ascendas India security.