Alpha Cognition Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 14.85
| ACOGF Stock | USD 5.68 0.02 0.35% |
Alpha |
Alpha Cognition Target Price Odds to finish over 14.85
The tendency of Alpha OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 14.85 or more in 90 days |
| 5.68 | 90 days | 14.85 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alpha Cognition to move over $ 14.85 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Alpha Cognition probability density function shows the probability of Alpha OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alpha Cognition price to stay between its current price of $ 5.68 and $ 14.85 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Alpha Cognition has a beta of -0.8. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Alpha Cognition are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Alpha Cognition is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Alpha Cognition has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Alpha Cognition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alpha Cognition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpha Cognition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alpha Cognition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alpha Cognition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alpha Cognition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alpha Cognition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alpha Cognition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Alpha Cognition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alpha Cognition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alpha Cognition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alpha Cognition generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alpha Cognition has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (19.55 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (37.5 K). | |
| Alpha Cognition has accumulated about 5.98 M in cash with (9.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Alpha Cognition Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alpha OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alpha Cognition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alpha Cognition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61.5 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 1.1 M | |
| Shares Float | 44.5 M |
Alpha Cognition Technical Analysis
Alpha Cognition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alpha OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alpha Cognition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alpha OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alpha Cognition Predictive Forecast Models
Alpha Cognition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alpha Cognition's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alpha Cognition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alpha Cognition
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alpha Cognition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alpha Cognition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alpha Cognition generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alpha Cognition has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (19.55 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (37.5 K). | |
| Alpha Cognition has accumulated about 5.98 M in cash with (9.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Alpha OTC Stock
Alpha Cognition financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alpha OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alpha with respect to the benefits of owning Alpha Cognition security.