Amsterdam Commodities (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.28
| ACOMO Stock | EUR 17.28 0.20 1.14% |
Amsterdam |
Amsterdam Commodities Target Price Odds to finish below 16.28
The tendency of Amsterdam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 16.28 or more in 90 days |
| 17.28 | 90 days | 16.28 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amsterdam Commodities to drop to € 16.28 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Amsterdam Commodities NV probability density function shows the probability of Amsterdam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amsterdam Commodities price to stay between € 16.28 and its current price of €17.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amsterdam Commodities has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amsterdam Commodities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amsterdam Commodities NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amsterdam Commodities NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Amsterdam Commodities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amsterdam Commodities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amsterdam Commodities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amsterdam Commodities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amsterdam Commodities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amsterdam Commodities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amsterdam Commodities NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amsterdam Commodities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Amsterdam Commodities Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amsterdam Commodities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amsterdam Commodities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amsterdam Commodities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amsterdam Commodities NV has accumulated about 3.51 M in cash with (36.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Amsterdam Commodities Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amsterdam Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amsterdam Commodities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amsterdam Commodities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.6 M |
Amsterdam Commodities Technical Analysis
Amsterdam Commodities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amsterdam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amsterdam Commodities NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amsterdam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amsterdam Commodities Predictive Forecast Models
Amsterdam Commodities' time-series forecasting models is one of many Amsterdam Commodities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amsterdam Commodities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amsterdam Commodities
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amsterdam Commodities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amsterdam Commodities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Amsterdam Commodities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amsterdam Commodities NV has accumulated about 3.51 M in cash with (36.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Amsterdam Stock
Amsterdam Commodities financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amsterdam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amsterdam with respect to the benefits of owning Amsterdam Commodities security.