Aberdeen Income Credit Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 23.62

ACP-PA Preferred Stock   24.01  0.37  1.52%   
Aberdeen Income's future price is the expected price of Aberdeen Income instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aberdeen Income Credit performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aberdeen Income Backtesting, Aberdeen Income Valuation, Aberdeen Income Correlation, Aberdeen Income Hype Analysis, Aberdeen Income Volatility, Aberdeen Income History as well as Aberdeen Income Performance.
  
Please specify Aberdeen Income's target price for which you would like Aberdeen Income odds to be computed.

Aberdeen Income Target Price Odds to finish over 23.62

The tendency of Aberdeen Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  23.62  in 90 days
 24.01 90 days 23.62 
about 80.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aberdeen Income to stay above  23.62  in 90 days from now is about 80.52 (This Aberdeen Income Credit probability density function shows the probability of Aberdeen Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aberdeen Income Credit price to stay between  23.62  and its current price of 24.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aberdeen Income has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aberdeen Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aberdeen Income Credit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aberdeen Income Credit has an alpha of 0.0089, implying that it can generate a 0.008893 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aberdeen Income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aberdeen Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen Income Credit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.7024.0125.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.6123.9225.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.2224.5325.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.9023.9124.92
Details

Aberdeen Income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aberdeen Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aberdeen Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aberdeen Income Credit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aberdeen Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Aberdeen Income Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aberdeen Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aberdeen Income Credit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aberdeen Income has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Aberdeen Income generates negative cash flow from operations

Aberdeen Income Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aberdeen Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aberdeen Income's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aberdeen Income's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0068
Dividends Paid24.3 M

Aberdeen Income Technical Analysis

Aberdeen Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aberdeen Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aberdeen Income Credit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aberdeen Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aberdeen Income Predictive Forecast Models

Aberdeen Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aberdeen Income's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aberdeen Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aberdeen Income Credit

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aberdeen Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aberdeen Income Credit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aberdeen Income has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Aberdeen Income generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Preferred Stock

Aberdeen Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen Income security.