Kvutzat Acro (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4584.06

ACRO Stock   5,373  77.00  1.41%   
Kvutzat Acro's future price is the expected price of Kvutzat Acro instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kvutzat Acro performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kvutzat Acro Backtesting, Kvutzat Acro Valuation, Kvutzat Acro Correlation, Kvutzat Acro Hype Analysis, Kvutzat Acro Volatility, Kvutzat Acro History as well as Kvutzat Acro Performance.
  
Please specify Kvutzat Acro's target price for which you would like Kvutzat Acro odds to be computed.

Kvutzat Acro Target Price Odds to finish below 4584.06

The tendency of Kvutzat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  4,584  or more in 90 days
 5,373 90 days 4,584 
about 49.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kvutzat Acro to drop to  4,584  or more in 90 days from now is about 49.37 (This Kvutzat Acro probability density function shows the probability of Kvutzat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kvutzat Acro price to stay between  4,584  and its current price of 5373.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kvutzat Acro has a beta of 0.55. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kvutzat Acro average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kvutzat Acro will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kvutzat Acro has an alpha of 0.2708, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kvutzat Acro Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kvutzat Acro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kvutzat Acro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,3715,3735,375
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,1894,1915,910
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,1705,1725,175
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,0564,9105,764
Details

Kvutzat Acro Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kvutzat Acro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kvutzat Acro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kvutzat Acro, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kvutzat Acro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.55
σ
Overall volatility
477.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Kvutzat Acro Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kvutzat Acro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kvutzat Acro can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Kvutzat Acro Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kvutzat Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kvutzat Acro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kvutzat Acro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.011
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.44

Kvutzat Acro Technical Analysis

Kvutzat Acro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kvutzat Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kvutzat Acro. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kvutzat Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kvutzat Acro Predictive Forecast Models

Kvutzat Acro's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kvutzat Acro's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kvutzat Acro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kvutzat Acro

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kvutzat Acro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kvutzat Acro help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Kvutzat Stock

Kvutzat Acro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kvutzat Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kvutzat with respect to the benefits of owning Kvutzat Acro security.