Acroud AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.61
| ACROUD Stock | SEK 0.22 0.06 21.43% |
Acroud |
Acroud AB Target Price Odds to finish below 1.61
The tendency of Acroud Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under kr 1.61 after 90 days |
| 0.22 | 90 days | 1.61 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acroud AB to stay under kr 1.61 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Acroud AB probability density function shows the probability of Acroud Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Acroud AB price to stay between its current price of kr 0.22 and kr 1.61 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.36 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Acroud AB will likely underperform. Additionally Acroud AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Acroud AB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Acroud AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acroud AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acroud AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acroud AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acroud AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acroud AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acroud AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acroud AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.69 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.31 |
Acroud AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acroud AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acroud AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Acroud AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Acroud AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Acroud AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Acroud AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acroud Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acroud AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acroud AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 127 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 M |
Acroud AB Technical Analysis
Acroud AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acroud Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acroud AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acroud Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Acroud AB Predictive Forecast Models
Acroud AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Acroud AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acroud AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Acroud AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Acroud AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acroud AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Acroud AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Acroud AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Acroud AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Acroud Stock
Acroud AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Acroud Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Acroud with respect to the benefits of owning Acroud AB security.