ACS Actividades (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.84
| ACS Stock | EUR 47.24 0.20 0.42% |
ACS |
ACS Actividades Target Price Odds to finish below 39.84
The tendency of ACS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 39.84 or more in 90 days |
| 47.24 | 90 days | 39.84 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ACS Actividades to drop to € 39.84 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This ACS Actividades de probability density function shows the probability of ACS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ACS Actividades de price to stay between € 39.84 and its current price of €47.24 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ACS Actividades de has a beta of -0.23. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ACS Actividades are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ACS Actividades de is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ACS Actividades de has an alpha of 0.2629, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ACS Actividades Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ACS Actividades
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ACS Actividades de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ACS Actividades Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ACS Actividades is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ACS Actividades' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ACS Actividades de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ACS Actividades within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
ACS Actividades Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ACS Actividades for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ACS Actividades de can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ACS Actividades de has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| ACS Actividades de has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
ACS Actividades Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ACS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ACS Actividades' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ACS Actividades' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 289.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12 B |
ACS Actividades Technical Analysis
ACS Actividades' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ACS Actividades de. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ACS Actividades Predictive Forecast Models
ACS Actividades' time-series forecasting models is one of many ACS Actividades' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ACS Actividades' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ACS Actividades de
Checking the ongoing alerts about ACS Actividades for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ACS Actividades de help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ACS Actividades de has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| ACS Actividades de has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in ACS Stock
ACS Actividades financial ratios help investors to determine whether ACS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ACS with respect to the benefits of owning ACS Actividades security.