DecideAct (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.67

ACT Stock  DKK 1.80  0.10  5.88%   
DecideAct's future price is the expected price of DecideAct instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DecideAct AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DecideAct Backtesting, DecideAct Valuation, DecideAct Correlation, DecideAct Hype Analysis, DecideAct Volatility, DecideAct History as well as DecideAct Performance.
  
Please specify DecideAct's target price for which you would like DecideAct odds to be computed.

DecideAct Target Price Odds to finish below 1.67

The tendency of DecideAct Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 1.67  or more in 90 days
 1.80 90 days 1.67 
about 14.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DecideAct to drop to kr 1.67  or more in 90 days from now is about 14.57 (This DecideAct AS probability density function shows the probability of DecideAct Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DecideAct AS price to stay between kr 1.67  and its current price of kr1.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DecideAct AS has a beta of -0.73. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding DecideAct are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, DecideAct AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally DecideAct AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   DecideAct Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DecideAct

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DecideAct AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.808.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.678.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.898.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.671.771.86
Details

DecideAct Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DecideAct is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DecideAct's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DecideAct AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DecideAct within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.73
σ
Overall volatility
0.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

DecideAct Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DecideAct for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DecideAct AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DecideAct AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
DecideAct AS has high historical volatility and very poor performance
DecideAct AS may become a speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (18.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
DecideAct generates negative cash flow from operations
About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

DecideAct Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DecideAct Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DecideAct's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DecideAct's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.8 M

DecideAct Technical Analysis

DecideAct's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DecideAct Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DecideAct AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing DecideAct Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DecideAct Predictive Forecast Models

DecideAct's time-series forecasting models is one of many DecideAct's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DecideAct's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DecideAct AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about DecideAct for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DecideAct AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DecideAct AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
DecideAct AS has high historical volatility and very poor performance
DecideAct AS may become a speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (18.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
DecideAct generates negative cash flow from operations
About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in DecideAct Stock

DecideAct financial ratios help investors to determine whether DecideAct Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DecideAct with respect to the benefits of owning DecideAct security.