Aamg Funds Iv Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 19.67

ACWZX Fund  USD 19.18  0.17  0.88%   
Aamg Funds' future price is the expected price of Aamg Funds instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aamg Funds Iv performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aamg Funds Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Aamg Funds Correlation, Aamg Funds Hype Analysis, Aamg Funds Volatility, Aamg Funds History as well as Aamg Funds Performance.
  
Please specify Aamg Funds' target price for which you would like Aamg Funds odds to be computed.

Aamg Funds Target Price Odds to finish below 19.67

The tendency of Aamg Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 19.67  after 90 days
 19.18 90 days 19.67 
over 95.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aamg Funds to stay under $ 19.67  after 90 days from now is over 95.7 (This Aamg Funds Iv probability density function shows the probability of Aamg Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aamg Funds Iv price to stay between its current price of $ 19.18  and $ 19.67  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.29 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.2 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aamg Funds will likely underperform. Additionally Aamg Funds Iv has an alpha of 0.0122, implying that it can generate a 0.0122 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aamg Funds Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aamg Funds

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aamg Funds Iv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.1419.1820.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.0319.0720.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0319.0720.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.6718.9220.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aamg Funds. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aamg Funds' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aamg Funds' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aamg Funds Iv.

Aamg Funds Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aamg Funds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aamg Funds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aamg Funds Iv, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aamg Funds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Aamg Funds Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aamg Funds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aamg Funds Iv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Aamg Funds Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aamg Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aamg Funds' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aamg Funds' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Aamg Funds Technical Analysis

Aamg Funds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aamg Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aamg Funds Iv. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aamg Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aamg Funds Predictive Forecast Models

Aamg Funds' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aamg Funds' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aamg Funds' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aamg Funds Iv

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aamg Funds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aamg Funds Iv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Aamg Mutual Fund

Aamg Funds financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aamg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aamg with respect to the benefits of owning Aamg Funds security.
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios