Adiuvo Investment (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0

ADV Stock   0.36  0.01  2.70%   
Adiuvo Investment's future price is the expected price of Adiuvo Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Adiuvo Investment SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Adiuvo Investment Backtesting, Adiuvo Investment Valuation, Adiuvo Investment Correlation, Adiuvo Investment Hype Analysis, Adiuvo Investment Volatility, Adiuvo Investment History as well as Adiuvo Investment Performance.
  
Please specify Adiuvo Investment's target price for which you would like Adiuvo Investment odds to be computed.

Adiuvo Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 0

The tendency of Adiuvo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days
 0.36 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adiuvo Investment to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Adiuvo Investment SA probability density function shows the probability of Adiuvo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Adiuvo Investment price to stay between  0.00  and its current price of 0.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Adiuvo Investment SA has a beta of -0.91. This suggests Additionally Adiuvo Investment SA has an alpha of 0.3655, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Adiuvo Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Adiuvo Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adiuvo Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Adiuvo Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.369.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.349.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.379.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.280.430.59
Details

Adiuvo Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adiuvo Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adiuvo Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adiuvo Investment SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adiuvo Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.91
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Adiuvo Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adiuvo Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adiuvo Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adiuvo Investment is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Adiuvo Investment has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Adiuvo Investment appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Adiuvo Investment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 331 K.
Adiuvo Investment generates negative cash flow from operations
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Adiuvo Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adiuvo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adiuvo Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adiuvo Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments52 K

Adiuvo Investment Technical Analysis

Adiuvo Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Adiuvo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Adiuvo Investment SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Adiuvo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Adiuvo Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Adiuvo Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Adiuvo Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Adiuvo Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Adiuvo Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Adiuvo Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Adiuvo Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adiuvo Investment is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Adiuvo Investment has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Adiuvo Investment appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Adiuvo Investment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 331 K.
Adiuvo Investment generates negative cash flow from operations
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Adiuvo Stock Analysis

When running Adiuvo Investment's price analysis, check to measure Adiuvo Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adiuvo Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Adiuvo Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adiuvo Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adiuvo Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adiuvo Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.