Advanced Info (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 223.17

ADVANC-R  THB 289.00  0.00  0.00%   
Advanced Info's future price is the expected price of Advanced Info instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Advanced Info Service performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Advanced Info Backtesting, Advanced Info Valuation, Advanced Info Correlation, Advanced Info Hype Analysis, Advanced Info Volatility, Advanced Info History as well as Advanced Info Performance.
  
Please specify Advanced Info's target price for which you would like Advanced Info odds to be computed.

Advanced Info Target Price Odds to finish below 223.17

The tendency of Advanced Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  223.17  or more in 90 days
 289.00 90 days 223.17 
about 56.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advanced Info to drop to  223.17  or more in 90 days from now is about 56.68 (This Advanced Info Service probability density function shows the probability of Advanced Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Advanced Info Service price to stay between  223.17  and its current price of 289.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Advanced Info has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This suggests the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and Advanced Info do not appear to be sensitive. Additionally It does not look like Advanced Info's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation.
   Advanced Info Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Advanced Info

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advanced Info Service. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.45289.0029,189
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.43248.5429,149
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.56223.17402.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.18214.79353.40
Details

Advanced Info Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advanced Info is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advanced Info's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advanced Info Service, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advanced Info within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.00
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.00
σ
Overall volatility
39.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.00

Advanced Info Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Advanced Info for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Advanced Info Service can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Advanced Info is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Advanced Info appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Advanced Info Service has accumulated 63.91 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.96, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Advanced Info Service has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Advanced Info until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Advanced Info's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Advanced Info Service sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Advanced to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Advanced Info's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Advanced Info Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Advanced Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Advanced Info's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advanced Info's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Advanced Info Technical Analysis

Advanced Info's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Advanced Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Advanced Info Service. In general, you should focus on analyzing Advanced Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Advanced Info Predictive Forecast Models

Advanced Info's time-series forecasting models is one of many Advanced Info's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Advanced Info's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Advanced Info Service

Checking the ongoing alerts about Advanced Info for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Advanced Info Service help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Advanced Info is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Advanced Info appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Advanced Info Service has accumulated 63.91 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.96, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Advanced Info Service has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Advanced Info until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Advanced Info's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Advanced Info Service sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Advanced to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Advanced Info's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Advanced Stock

Advanced Info financial ratios help investors to determine whether Advanced Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Advanced with respect to the benefits of owning Advanced Info security.