Alternative Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.8E-5
| AEGY Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Alternative |
Alternative Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 7.8E-5
The tendency of Alternative Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.000078 or more in 90 days |
| 0.0001 | 90 days | 0.000078 | about 31.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alternative Energy to drop to $ 0.000078 or more in 90 days from now is about 31.3 (This Alternative Energy probability density function shows the probability of Alternative Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alternative Energy price to stay between $ 0.000078 and its current price of $1.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.61 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alternative Energy has a beta of -16.67. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Alternative Energy are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Alternative Energy is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Alternative Energy has an alpha of 6.2624, implying that it can generate a 6.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alternative Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alternative Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alternative Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alternative Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alternative Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alternative Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alternative Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alternative Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 6.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -16.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0001 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Alternative Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alternative Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alternative Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alternative Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alternative Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alternative Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Alternative Energy currently holds 383.06 K in liabilities. Alternative Energy has a current ratio of 0.24, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Alternative Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Alternative Energy currently holds about 155.11 K in cash with (47.34 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Alternative Energy Technical Analysis
Alternative Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alternative Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alternative Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alternative Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alternative Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Alternative Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alternative Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alternative Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alternative Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alternative Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alternative Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alternative Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alternative Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alternative Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Alternative Energy currently holds 383.06 K in liabilities. Alternative Energy has a current ratio of 0.24, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Alternative Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Alternative Energy currently holds about 155.11 K in cash with (47.34 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Additional Tools for Alternative Stock Analysis
When running Alternative Energy's price analysis, check to measure Alternative Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alternative Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Alternative Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alternative Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alternative Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alternative Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.