Anglo Eastern (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 680.7

AEP Stock   665.00  5.00  0.76%   
Anglo Eastern's future price is the expected price of Anglo Eastern instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Anglo Eastern Plantations PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Anglo Eastern Backtesting, Anglo Eastern Valuation, Anglo Eastern Correlation, Anglo Eastern Hype Analysis, Anglo Eastern Volatility, Anglo Eastern History as well as Anglo Eastern Performance.
  
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Anglo Eastern Target Price Odds to finish over 680.7

The tendency of Anglo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  680.70  or more in 90 days
 665.00 90 days 680.70 
about 15.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anglo Eastern to move over  680.70  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.48 (This Anglo Eastern Plantations PLC probability density function shows the probability of Anglo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anglo Eastern Planta price to stay between its current price of  665.00  and  680.70  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anglo Eastern Plantations PLC has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Anglo Eastern are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Anglo Eastern Plantations PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Anglo Eastern Plantations PLC has an alpha of 0.1338, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Anglo Eastern Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Anglo Eastern

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anglo Eastern Planta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
663.78665.24666.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
554.67556.13731.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
643.39644.86646.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
651.93674.40696.87
Details

Anglo Eastern Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anglo Eastern is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anglo Eastern's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anglo Eastern Plantations PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anglo Eastern within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
32.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.0075

Anglo Eastern Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anglo Eastern for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anglo Eastern Planta can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Anglo Eastern Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anglo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anglo Eastern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anglo Eastern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding39.6 M
Dividends Paid15.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments167.1 M

Anglo Eastern Technical Analysis

Anglo Eastern's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anglo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anglo Eastern Plantations PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anglo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Anglo Eastern Predictive Forecast Models

Anglo Eastern's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anglo Eastern's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anglo Eastern's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Anglo Eastern Planta

Checking the ongoing alerts about Anglo Eastern for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anglo Eastern Planta help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Anglo Stock

Anglo Eastern financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anglo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anglo with respect to the benefits of owning Anglo Eastern security.