American Electric (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 91.04
| AEP Stock | EUR 94.00 1.50 1.57% |
American |
American Electric Target Price Odds to finish over 91.04
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 91.04 in 90 days |
| 94.00 | 90 days | 91.04 | about 37.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Electric to stay above € 91.04 in 90 days from now is about 37.25 (This American Electric Power probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Electric Power price to stay between € 91.04 and its current price of €94.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon American Electric has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This suggests the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and American Electric do not appear to be related. Additionally It does not look like American Electric's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation. American Electric Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for American Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Electric Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Electric Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Electric Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
American Electric Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 513.9 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.6 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 6.1 B |
American Electric Technical Analysis
American Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Electric Power. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Electric Predictive Forecast Models
American Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Electric's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards American Electric in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, American Electric's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from American Electric options trading.
Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis
When running American Electric's price analysis, check to measure American Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Electric is operating at the current time. Most of American Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.