Aevis Victoria (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.82
| AEVS Stock | CHF 14.00 0.20 1.45% |
Aevis |
Aevis Victoria Target Price Odds to finish below 10.82
The tendency of Aevis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to ₣ 10.82 or more in 90 days |
| 14.00 | 90 days | 10.82 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aevis Victoria to drop to ₣ 10.82 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Aevis Victoria SA probability density function shows the probability of Aevis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aevis Victoria SA price to stay between ₣ 10.82 and its current price of ₣14.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aevis Victoria has a beta of 0.14. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aevis Victoria average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aevis Victoria SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aevis Victoria SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aevis Victoria Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aevis Victoria
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aevis Victoria SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aevis Victoria Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aevis Victoria is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aevis Victoria's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aevis Victoria SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aevis Victoria within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Aevis Victoria Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aevis Victoria for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aevis Victoria SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aevis Victoria SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Aevis Victoria SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Aevis Victoria SA has accumulated 538.3 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 243.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Aevis Victoria SA has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aevis Victoria until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aevis Victoria's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aevis Victoria SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aevis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aevis Victoria's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 887.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 176.52 M. | |
| About 87.0% of Aevis Victoria shares are held by company insiders |
Aevis Victoria Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aevis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aevis Victoria's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aevis Victoria's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 63.4 M |
Aevis Victoria Technical Analysis
Aevis Victoria's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aevis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aevis Victoria SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aevis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aevis Victoria Predictive Forecast Models
Aevis Victoria's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aevis Victoria's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aevis Victoria's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aevis Victoria SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aevis Victoria for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aevis Victoria SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aevis Victoria SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Aevis Victoria SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Aevis Victoria SA has accumulated 538.3 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 243.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Aevis Victoria SA has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aevis Victoria until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aevis Victoria's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aevis Victoria SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aevis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aevis Victoria's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 887.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 176.52 M. | |
| About 87.0% of Aevis Victoria shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Aevis Stock Analysis
When running Aevis Victoria's price analysis, check to measure Aevis Victoria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aevis Victoria is operating at the current time. Most of Aevis Victoria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aevis Victoria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aevis Victoria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aevis Victoria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.