Atos Origin Sa Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.15

AEXAY Stock  USD 0.18  0.02  12.50%   
Atos Origin's future price is the expected price of Atos Origin instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Atos Origin SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Atos Origin Backtesting, Atos Origin Valuation, Atos Origin Correlation, Atos Origin Hype Analysis, Atos Origin Volatility, Atos Origin History as well as Atos Origin Performance.
  
Please specify Atos Origin's target price for which you would like Atos Origin odds to be computed.

Atos Origin Target Price Odds to finish below 0.15

The tendency of Atos Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.15  or more in 90 days
 0.18 90 days 0.15 
about 76.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atos Origin to drop to $ 0.15  or more in 90 days from now is about 76.78 (This Atos Origin SA probability density function shows the probability of Atos Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atos Origin SA price to stay between $ 0.15  and its current price of $0.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Atos Origin SA has a beta of -0.39. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Atos Origin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Atos Origin SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Atos Origin SA has an alpha of 0.7523, implying that it can generate a 0.75 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Atos Origin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Atos Origin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atos Origin SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.187.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.147.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Atos Origin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Atos Origin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Atos Origin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Atos Origin SA.

Atos Origin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atos Origin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atos Origin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atos Origin SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atos Origin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.75
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Atos Origin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atos Origin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atos Origin SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atos Origin SA is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Atos Origin SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Atos Origin SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 10.84 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.96 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 408 M.

Atos Origin Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atos Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atos Origin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atos Origin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding547.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.4 B

Atos Origin Technical Analysis

Atos Origin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atos Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atos Origin SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atos Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Atos Origin Predictive Forecast Models

Atos Origin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atos Origin's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atos Origin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Atos Origin SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Atos Origin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atos Origin SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atos Origin SA is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Atos Origin SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Atos Origin SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 10.84 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.96 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 408 M.

Additional Tools for Atos Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Atos Origin's price analysis, check to measure Atos Origin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atos Origin is operating at the current time. Most of Atos Origin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atos Origin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atos Origin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atos Origin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.