Afc Gamma Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.19
| AFCG Stock | USD 9.73 0.09 0.93% |
AFC |
AFC Gamma Target Price Odds to finish below 5.19
The tendency of AFC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.19 or more in 90 days |
| 9.73 | 90 days | 5.19 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AFC Gamma to drop to $ 5.19 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AFC Gamma probability density function shows the probability of AFC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AFC Gamma price to stay between $ 5.19 and its current price of $9.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.27 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AFC Gamma has a beta of 0.48. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AFC Gamma average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AFC Gamma will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AFC Gamma has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AFC Gamma Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AFC Gamma
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AFC Gamma. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AFC Gamma's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AFC Gamma Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AFC Gamma is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AFC Gamma's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AFC Gamma, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AFC Gamma within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
AFC Gamma Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AFC Gamma for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AFC Gamma can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AFC Gamma generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 15th of October 2024 AFC Gamma paid $ 0.33 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Advanced Flower Capital Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Surpassing Loan ... |
AFC Gamma Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AFC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AFC Gamma's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AFC Gamma's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 121.6 M |
AFC Gamma Technical Analysis
AFC Gamma's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AFC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AFC Gamma. In general, you should focus on analyzing AFC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AFC Gamma Predictive Forecast Models
AFC Gamma's time-series forecasting models is one of many AFC Gamma's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AFC Gamma's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AFC Gamma
Checking the ongoing alerts about AFC Gamma for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AFC Gamma help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AFC Gamma generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 15th of October 2024 AFC Gamma paid $ 0.33 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Advanced Flower Capital Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Surpassing Loan ... |
Check out AFC Gamma Backtesting, AFC Gamma Valuation, AFC Gamma Correlation, AFC Gamma Hype Analysis, AFC Gamma Volatility, AFC Gamma History as well as AFC Gamma Performance. For more detail on how to invest in AFC Stock please use our How to Invest in AFC Gamma guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AFC Gamma. If investors know AFC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AFC Gamma listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.85) | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 0.26 | Revenue Per Share 2.11 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.39) |
The market value of AFC Gamma is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AFC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AFC Gamma's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AFC Gamma's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AFC Gamma's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AFC Gamma's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AFC Gamma's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AFC Gamma is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AFC Gamma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.