Afc Gamma Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.64

AFCG Stock  USD 9.55  0.04  0.42%   
AFC Gamma's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on AFC Gamma. Implied volatility approximates the future value of AFC Gamma based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in AFC Gamma over a specific time period. For example, AFCG Option Call 20-12-2024 10 is a CALL option contract on AFC Gamma's common stock with a strick price of 10.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-02 at 14:12:25 for $0.15 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 11th of December 2024 is 9.0. View All AFC options

Closest to current price AFC long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

AFC Gamma's future price is the expected price of AFC Gamma instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AFC Gamma performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AFC Gamma Backtesting, AFC Gamma Valuation, AFC Gamma Correlation, AFC Gamma Hype Analysis, AFC Gamma Volatility, AFC Gamma History as well as AFC Gamma Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in AFC Stock please use our How to Invest in AFC Gamma guide.
  
The current Price To Sales Ratio is estimated to decrease to 2.40. The current Price Earnings Ratio is estimated to decrease to 7.58. Please specify AFC Gamma's target price for which you would like AFC Gamma odds to be computed.

AFC Gamma Target Price Odds to finish over 9.64

The tendency of AFC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 9.64  or more in 90 days
 9.55 90 days 9.64 
about 76.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AFC Gamma to move over $ 9.64  or more in 90 days from now is about 76.39 (This AFC Gamma probability density function shows the probability of AFC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AFC Gamma price to stay between its current price of $ 9.55  and $ 9.64  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.75 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AFC Gamma has a beta of 0.55. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AFC Gamma average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AFC Gamma will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AFC Gamma has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   AFC Gamma Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AFC Gamma

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AFC Gamma. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AFC Gamma's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.109.5511.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.6011.5713.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.989.4310.88
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.9317.5019.43
Details

AFC Gamma Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AFC Gamma is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AFC Gamma's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AFC Gamma, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AFC Gamma within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.55
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

AFC Gamma Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AFC Gamma for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AFC Gamma can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AFC Gamma generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 15th of October 2024 AFC Gamma paid $ 0.33 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: AFC Gammas SWOT analysis cannabis lenders stock faces spin-off, loan challenges

AFC Gamma Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AFC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AFC Gamma's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AFC Gamma's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments121.6 M

AFC Gamma Technical Analysis

AFC Gamma's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AFC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AFC Gamma. In general, you should focus on analyzing AFC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AFC Gamma Predictive Forecast Models

AFC Gamma's time-series forecasting models is one of many AFC Gamma's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AFC Gamma's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AFC Gamma

Checking the ongoing alerts about AFC Gamma for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AFC Gamma help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AFC Gamma generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 15th of October 2024 AFC Gamma paid $ 0.33 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: AFC Gammas SWOT analysis cannabis lenders stock faces spin-off, loan challenges
When determining whether AFC Gamma is a strong investment it is important to analyze AFC Gamma's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact AFC Gamma's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding AFC Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out AFC Gamma Backtesting, AFC Gamma Valuation, AFC Gamma Correlation, AFC Gamma Hype Analysis, AFC Gamma Volatility, AFC Gamma History as well as AFC Gamma Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in AFC Stock please use our How to Invest in AFC Gamma guide.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AFC Gamma. If investors know AFC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AFC Gamma listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.85)
Dividend Share
0.48
Earnings Share
0.26
Revenue Per Share
2.11
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.39)
The market value of AFC Gamma is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AFC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AFC Gamma's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AFC Gamma's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AFC Gamma's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AFC Gamma's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AFC Gamma's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AFC Gamma is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AFC Gamma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.