Affiliated Resources Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0764

AFFL Stock  USD 0.08  0.01  12.95%   
Affiliated Resources' future price is the expected price of Affiliated Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Affiliated Resources Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Affiliated Resources Backtesting, Affiliated Resources Valuation, Affiliated Resources Correlation, Affiliated Resources Hype Analysis, Affiliated Resources Volatility, Affiliated Resources History as well as Affiliated Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Affiliated Resources' target price for which you would like Affiliated Resources odds to be computed.

Affiliated Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0764

The tendency of Affiliated Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.08  or more in 90 days
 0.08 90 days 0.08 
about 1.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Affiliated Resources to drop to $ 0.08  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.88 (This Affiliated Resources Corp probability density function shows the probability of Affiliated Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Affiliated Resources Corp price to stay between $ 0.08  and its current price of $0.082 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.25 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Affiliated Resources Corp has a beta of -0.91. This suggests Additionally Affiliated Resources Corp has an alpha of 0.207, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Affiliated Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Affiliated Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Affiliated Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.088.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.088.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.078.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.080.090.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Affiliated Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Affiliated Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Affiliated Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Affiliated Resources Corp.

Affiliated Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Affiliated Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Affiliated Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Affiliated Resources Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Affiliated Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.91
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.0016

Affiliated Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Affiliated Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Affiliated Resources Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Affiliated Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Affiliated Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Affiliated Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Affiliated Resources has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 519.37 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.4 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (108.35 K).
Affiliated Resources Corp currently holds about 1.36 K in cash with (862.84 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Affiliated Resources Technical Analysis

Affiliated Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Affiliated Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Affiliated Resources Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Affiliated Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Affiliated Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Affiliated Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Affiliated Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Affiliated Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Affiliated Resources Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Affiliated Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Affiliated Resources Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Affiliated Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Affiliated Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Affiliated Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Affiliated Resources has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 519.37 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.4 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (108.35 K).
Affiliated Resources Corp currently holds about 1.36 K in cash with (862.84 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in Affiliated Pink Sheet

Affiliated Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Affiliated Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Affiliated with respect to the benefits of owning Affiliated Resources security.