Arctic Fish (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 64.47

AFISH Stock  NOK 71.00  1.00  1.43%   
Arctic Fish's future price is the expected price of Arctic Fish instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Arctic Fish Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Arctic Fish Backtesting, Arctic Fish Valuation, Arctic Fish Correlation, Arctic Fish Hype Analysis, Arctic Fish Volatility, Arctic Fish History as well as Arctic Fish Performance.
  
Please specify Arctic Fish's target price for which you would like Arctic Fish odds to be computed.

Arctic Fish Target Price Odds to finish below 64.47

The tendency of Arctic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  64.47  or more in 90 days
 71.00 90 days 64.47 
about 70.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arctic Fish to drop to  64.47  or more in 90 days from now is about 70.12 (This Arctic Fish Holding probability density function shows the probability of Arctic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arctic Fish Holding price to stay between  64.47  and its current price of 71.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Arctic Fish Holding has a beta of -0.28. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Arctic Fish are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Arctic Fish Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Arctic Fish Holding has an alpha of 0.6263, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Arctic Fish Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Arctic Fish

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arctic Fish Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.8371.0075.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.7955.9678.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
71.4375.6179.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
65.4669.4073.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arctic Fish. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arctic Fish's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Arctic Fish's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Arctic Fish Holding.

Arctic Fish Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arctic Fish is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arctic Fish's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arctic Fish Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arctic Fish within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.63
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
10.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Arctic Fish Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arctic Fish for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arctic Fish Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arctic Fish Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Arctic Fish Holding has accumulated about 18.38 M in cash with (34.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.59.
Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Arctic Fish Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arctic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arctic Fish's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arctic Fish's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.4 M

Arctic Fish Technical Analysis

Arctic Fish's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arctic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arctic Fish Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arctic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Arctic Fish Predictive Forecast Models

Arctic Fish's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arctic Fish's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arctic Fish's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Arctic Fish Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arctic Fish for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arctic Fish Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arctic Fish Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Arctic Fish Holding has accumulated about 18.38 M in cash with (34.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.59.
Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Arctic Stock

Arctic Fish financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arctic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arctic with respect to the benefits of owning Arctic Fish security.