Arendals Fossekompani (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 145.54
| AFK Stock | NOK 146.20 3.80 2.53% |
Arendals |
Arendals Fossekompani Target Price Odds to finish below 145.54
The tendency of Arendals Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 145.54 or more in 90 days |
| 146.20 | 90 days | 145.54 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arendals Fossekompani to drop to 145.54 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Arendals Fossekompani ASA probability density function shows the probability of Arendals Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arendals Fossekompani ASA price to stay between 145.54 and its current price of 146.2 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Arendals Fossekompani ASA has a beta of -0.15. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Arendals Fossekompani are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Arendals Fossekompani ASA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Arendals Fossekompani ASA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Arendals Fossekompani Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Arendals Fossekompani
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arendals Fossekompani ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arendals Fossekompani Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arendals Fossekompani is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arendals Fossekompani's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arendals Fossekompani ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arendals Fossekompani within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Arendals Fossekompani Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arendals Fossekompani for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arendals Fossekompani ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arendals Fossekompani generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Arendals Fossekompani Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arendals Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arendals Fossekompani's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arendals Fossekompani's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 B |
Arendals Fossekompani Technical Analysis
Arendals Fossekompani's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arendals Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arendals Fossekompani ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arendals Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arendals Fossekompani Predictive Forecast Models
Arendals Fossekompani's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arendals Fossekompani's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arendals Fossekompani's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arendals Fossekompani ASA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arendals Fossekompani for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arendals Fossekompani ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Arendals Fossekompani generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Arendals Stock
Arendals Fossekompani financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arendals Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arendals with respect to the benefits of owning Arendals Fossekompani security.