Alphamin Resources Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 3.66

AFMJF Stock  USD 0.84  0.02  2.33%   
Alphamin Resources' future price is the expected price of Alphamin Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alphamin Resources Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alphamin Resources Backtesting, Alphamin Resources Valuation, Alphamin Resources Correlation, Alphamin Resources Hype Analysis, Alphamin Resources Volatility, Alphamin Resources History as well as Alphamin Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Alphamin Resources' target price for which you would like Alphamin Resources odds to be computed.

Alphamin Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 3.66

The tendency of Alphamin Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 3.66  or more in 90 days
 0.84 90 days 3.66 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alphamin Resources to move over $ 3.66  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Alphamin Resources Corp probability density function shows the probability of Alphamin Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alphamin Resources Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.84  and $ 3.66  at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.44 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Alphamin Resources has a beta of 0.38. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alphamin Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alphamin Resources Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alphamin Resources Corp has an alpha of 0.239, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alphamin Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alphamin Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alphamin Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.843.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.673.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.813.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.840.840.84
Details

Alphamin Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alphamin Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alphamin Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alphamin Resources Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alphamin Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Alphamin Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alphamin Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alphamin Resources Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alphamin Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Alphamin Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alphamin Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alphamin Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alphamin Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B

Alphamin Resources Technical Analysis

Alphamin Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alphamin Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alphamin Resources Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alphamin Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alphamin Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Alphamin Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Alphamin Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alphamin Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alphamin Resources Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alphamin Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alphamin Resources Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alphamin Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Alphamin Pink Sheet

Alphamin Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alphamin Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alphamin with respect to the benefits of owning Alphamin Resources security.