Antioquia Gold Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.01
| AGDXF Stock | USD 0.02 0.01 100.00% |
Antioquia |
Antioquia Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Antioquia Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 30.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Antioquia Gold to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 30.8 (This Antioquia Gold probability density function shows the probability of Antioquia Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Antioquia Gold price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.9 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Antioquia Gold has a beta of -1.55. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Antioquia Gold are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Antioquia Gold is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Antioquia Gold has an alpha of 1.5551, implying that it can generate a 1.56 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Antioquia Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Antioquia Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Antioquia Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Antioquia Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Antioquia Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Antioquia Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Antioquia Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Antioquia Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Antioquia Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.56 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Antioquia Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Antioquia Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Antioquia Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Antioquia Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Antioquia Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Antioquia Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Antioquia Gold has accumulated 1.56 M in total debt. Antioquia Gold has a current ratio of 0.27, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Antioquia Gold until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Antioquia Gold's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Antioquia Gold sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Antioquia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Antioquia Gold's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 83.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.31 M. | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Antioquia Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Antioquia Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Antioquia Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Antioquia Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 949.4 M |
Antioquia Gold Technical Analysis
Antioquia Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Antioquia Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Antioquia Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Antioquia Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Antioquia Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Antioquia Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Antioquia Gold's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Antioquia Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Antioquia Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about Antioquia Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Antioquia Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Antioquia Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Antioquia Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Antioquia Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Antioquia Gold has accumulated 1.56 M in total debt. Antioquia Gold has a current ratio of 0.27, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Antioquia Gold until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Antioquia Gold's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Antioquia Gold sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Antioquia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Antioquia Gold's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 83.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.31 M. | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Antioquia Pink Sheet
Antioquia Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Antioquia Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Antioquia with respect to the benefits of owning Antioquia Gold security.