Alligator Energy (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0374
| AGE Stock | 0.04 0 2.50% |
Alligator |
Alligator Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0374
The tendency of Alligator Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 0.04 in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.04 | roughly 96.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alligator Energy to stay above 0.04 in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Alligator Energy probability density function shows the probability of Alligator Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alligator Energy price to stay between 0.04 and its current price of 0.039 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alligator Energy has a beta of 0.74. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alligator Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alligator Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alligator Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Alligator Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alligator Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alligator Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alligator Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alligator Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alligator Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alligator Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alligator Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Alligator Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alligator Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alligator Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alligator Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alligator Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alligator Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Alligator Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 601.62 K. | |
| Alligator Energy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Alligator Energy Issues New Employee Incentive Options - MSN |
Alligator Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alligator Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alligator Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alligator Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.4 M |
Alligator Energy Technical Analysis
Alligator Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alligator Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alligator Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alligator Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alligator Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Alligator Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alligator Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alligator Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alligator Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alligator Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alligator Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alligator Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alligator Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alligator Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Alligator Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 601.62 K. | |
| Alligator Energy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Alligator Energy Issues New Employee Incentive Options - MSN |
Additional Tools for Alligator Stock Analysis
When running Alligator Energy's price analysis, check to measure Alligator Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alligator Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Alligator Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alligator Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alligator Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alligator Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.