Asia Green (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.87
| AGE Stock | THB 1.23 0.01 0.82% |
Asia |
Asia Green Target Price Odds to finish below 1.87
The tendency of Asia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.87 after 90 days |
| 1.23 | 90 days | 1.87 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asia Green to stay under 1.87 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Asia Green Energy probability density function shows the probability of Asia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asia Green Energy price to stay between its current price of 1.23 and 1.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Asia Green has a beta of 0.54. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Asia Green average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Asia Green Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Asia Green Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Asia Green Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Asia Green
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asia Green Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Asia Green Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asia Green is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asia Green's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asia Green Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asia Green within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Asia Green Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asia Green for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asia Green Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Asia Green Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Asia Green Energy may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Asia Green Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Asia Green Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Asia Green Energy has accumulated about 106.7 M in cash with (688.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Asia Green Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Asia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asia Green's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asia Green's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 966.9 M |
Asia Green Technical Analysis
Asia Green's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asia Green Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Asia Green Predictive Forecast Models
Asia Green's time-series forecasting models is one of many Asia Green's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asia Green's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Asia Green Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Asia Green for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asia Green Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Asia Green Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Asia Green Energy may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Asia Green Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Asia Green Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Asia Green Energy has accumulated about 106.7 M in cash with (688.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Asia Stock
Asia Green financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asia with respect to the benefits of owning Asia Green security.