Agrify Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.58
| AGFY Stock | USD 47.62 11.64 32.35% |
Agrify |
Agrify Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 31.58
The tendency of Agrify Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 31.58 or more in 90 days |
| 47.62 | 90 days | 31.58 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agrify Corp to drop to $ 31.58 or more in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Agrify Corp probability density function shows the probability of Agrify Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Agrify Corp price to stay between $ 31.58 and its current price of $47.62 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Agrify Corp has a beta of 0.67. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Agrify Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Agrify Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. In addition to that Agrify Corp has an alpha of 4.8503, implying that it can generate a 4.85 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Agrify Corp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Agrify Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agrify Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Agrify Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agrify Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agrify Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agrify Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agrify Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 4.85 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.30 |
Agrify Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agrify Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agrify Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Agrify Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Agrify Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Agrify Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.23 M. | |
| Agrify Corp currently holds about 12.01 M in cash with (30.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.26. | |
| Agrify Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Why Agrify Stock Is Getting Hammered |
Agrify Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Agrify Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Agrify Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agrify Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 99.4 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 434 K |
Agrify Corp Technical Analysis
Agrify Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Agrify Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Agrify Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Agrify Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Agrify Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Agrify Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Agrify Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Agrify Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Agrify Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Agrify Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Agrify Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Agrify Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Agrify Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Agrify Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.23 M. | |
| Agrify Corp currently holds about 12.01 M in cash with (30.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.26. | |
| Agrify Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Why Agrify Stock Is Getting Hammered |
Additional Tools for Agrify Stock Analysis
When running Agrify Corp's price analysis, check to measure Agrify Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agrify Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Agrify Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agrify Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agrify Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agrify Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.